NCAA Tournament March Madness

#199 Tarleton St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Tarleton State’s profile is a blend of encouraging home wins and damaging road defeats that explains its current standing: the road victory at Rice and home wins over Texas A&M–Corpus Christi and Merrimack show the team can close out games, but the lopsided losses at SMU, LSU, Baylor and Cincinnati are hard to overlook and leave no marquee neutral-site win to point to. Most of the résumé’s best results came against lower-tier opposition, so the committee will focus on whether Tarleton can turn its conference slate into resume repair by taking advantage of home dates and by winning the tougher road tests at UT Arlington, Utah Valley and Cal Baptist. Those outcomes will determine whether the positives outweigh the bad losses because quality wins away from home or on neutral floors are the only clear path to shifting the narrative.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@SMU43L96-76
11/5@LSU33L96-60
11/8TAM C. Christi219W85-77
11/11Merrimack279W76-62
11/14@Baylor34L94-81
11/20@Rice213W90-74
12/1@Cincinnati82L76-58
12/16@MS Valley St36594%
12/19Florida A&M34287%
12/29@UT Arlington16733%
1/1Utah Valley8328%
1/3Cal Baptist12943%
1/8Abilene Chr21865%
1/15@Southern Utah31664%
1/17@Utah Tech25248%
1/21@UT Arlington16733%
1/24Abilene Chr21865%
1/29Utah Valley8328%
1/31Utah Tech25269%
2/5@Cal Baptist12923%
2/7@Southern Utah31664%
2/14@Abilene Chr21843%
2/19Southern Utah31682%
2/21Utah Tech25269%
2/26@Utah Valley8313%
2/28@Cal Baptist12923%
3/5UT Arlington16755%