NCAA Tournament March Madness

#194 Tarleton St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Tarleton State’s résumé reads like a mid‑major with hard lessons from a brutal early road slate and a few tidy wins that prove competence against lesser competition. The heavy defeats at SMU, LSU and Baylor are the clearest stains because they came away from home against power programs and left little evidence of a signature win, while victories over TAM C. Christi, Merrimack and a true road triumph at Rice show the team can finish against peer opponents and avoid being one‑dimensional. The remainder of the schedule hands the Texans chances to change the narrative with road trips to Cincinnati, Utah Valley, Cal Baptist and Southern Utah and with home opportunities against UT Arlington and Utah Tech, so the committee will be watching how they perform in those true road and neutral settings. Ultimately what matters most is whether Tarleton can erase the memory of those lopsided losses by collecting meaningful road wins in conference and avoid more damaging defeats, because without a marquee victory their current resume looks safe but fragile.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@SMU44L96-76
11/5@LSU37L96-60
11/8TAM C. Christi242W85-77
11/11Merrimack262W76-62
11/14@Baylor27L94-81
11/20@Rice215W90-74
12/1@Cincinnati7211%
12/16@MS Valley St36593%
12/19Florida A&M34989%
12/29@UT Arlington16935%
1/1Utah Valley9232%
1/3Cal Baptist13547%
1/8Abilene Chr25371%
1/15@Southern Utah32765%
1/17@Utah Tech27053%
1/21@UT Arlington16935%
1/24Abilene Chr25371%
1/29Utah Valley9232%
1/31Utah Tech27074%
2/5@Cal Baptist13526%
2/7@Southern Utah32765%
2/14@Abilene Chr25349%
2/19Southern Utah32783%
2/21Utah Tech27074%
2/26@Utah Valley9215%
2/28@Cal Baptist13526%
3/5UT Arlington16957%